Market Trends Economy & Central Bank Outlook Continued benign US inflation reports and growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at the September policy meeting led markets to price in deeper rate cuts in both Australia and the US over August. Fed...
Time Has Come Global markets The global equity rebound continued last week, buoyed by confirmation of a US rate cut next month by Fed chair Jerome Powell. Markets waited all week for Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole central bank talkfest, and were not disappointed. Powell declared “the time has...
Market Trends: The tug of war continued in June The tug of war between growth and value exposures continued in June, with relative performance still broadly correlated with the movement in bond yields. Indeed, the decline in bond yields encouraged a stronger rotation back into growth/technology/quality exposures...
Market Trends: Inflation Runs Cold A pull back in global bond yields led to stronger returns for both growth and defensive assets in May. The main event over the month was a relatively more benign US consumer price inflation report – after three consecutive higher-than-expected monthly results....
Market Trends: Rate cut expectations scaled back [vc_video link='https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhvHI8sKO_0'] [vc_separator type='normal' position='center' color='#000000' thickness='1' up='20' down='20'] Both equity and bond markets weakened in April due to a significant rebound in bond yields. Bond yields rose as sticky inflation and resilient economic growth caused markets to further scale back...
Market Trends: Fears of a Global Recession Fading Fast [vc_video link='https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xH_HGiKGhBI'] [vc_separator type='normal' position='center' color='#000000' thickness='1' up='20' down='20'] Market fears of a global recession anytime soon are now all but eradicated. Resilient US economic growth, hopes of a broadening in global growth to non-US regions, artificial intelligence euphoria...
Market Trends: Shares rally, but valuations look stretched Easing fears of a global recession remained the major global market theme in February, with the US Federal Reserve signalling the next move in rates is likely down. The only near-term debate is how quickly the Fed will...
Equity Markets: What Will Happen When Interest Rates Fall? The conclusion of the recent rate hiking cycle ignited a surge in what market analysts are calling an “everything all at once rally”. However, as the focus shifts towards potential rate cuts, investors face a more nuanced...
Waiting for a cut Defensive assets returns were flat in January, reflecting muted cash and Australian bond returns, and a small decline in global bond returns. Gold prices also eased a little. The major theme of the month was solid US economic growth and reduced expectations...
Economists Divided on Rate Cuts Following Cool Inflation Data The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data in Australia, as released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), indicates a potential shift in the trajectory of inflation and its impact on monetary policy. In the 12 months...